• Liz@midwest.social
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      1 year ago
      1. the voting system alone won’t break the two party system.

      2. Approval Voting is a better voting method anyway.

      3. We’re going to need to move to some kind of proportional system in order to get more parties, and sequential proportional approval is better suited for that task as well.

      I’m only coming at you so strong because it’s important that we get this right the first time. Approval is the way to go, both in the short term and the long term.

      For those that don’t know, approval works like this: vote for any number of candidates, most votes wins. That’s it. It’s dead simple while being one of the more accurate systems by multiple measures.

      Link 1 Simulating Elections with Spatial Voter Models

      Link 2 Simplified Spacial Model Example

      Link 3 2012 OWS Polling

      Link 4 Democratic Primary Polling

      Link 5 2024 Republican primary

      RCV has problems with spoilers, vote-splitting, and non-monotonicity. RCV is so messy we’re not exactly sure how often an RCV election was influenced by a spoiler, but it could be as high as 14%, which would put around 75 people into Congress thanks to a spoiler. We know our happened in the Alaska special election, for example.

      Anyway, if you want to help switch your local or state elections to approval (and you absolutely should) volunteer here!

        • Liz@midwest.social
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          1 year ago

          So unfortunately I didn’t bookmark that particular source, but the estimates can range fairly significantly. They’re sensitive to your technique and your definition of a spoiler. For example, this article calculates both higher and lower probabilities of a spoiler. I don’t think it’s good for much more than saying that, all else being equal, RCV has fewer spoilers than FPTP (choose one). Contrast that with approval, where spoilers simply don’t exist, and approval clearly takes the cake in that category.