This is definitely worth a read and I very much hope the author’s predictions come true, but I think it misses the mark in two big areas.
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This article presumes these platforms will remain the same. In reality these companies will pull out all the stops to incentivize users to stay, and if that doesn’t work they will just buy up and acquire the competition, wherever the users are. Look at what’s happening with tiktok.
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Some users - believe it or not - want a way to keep up with IRL friends and acquaintances. Instagram and Facebook provided a great way to do this (however less “great” nowadays). Still, I don’t want to email or text every single person I know just to share a photo or a recent event. And honestly I also don’t want every acquaintance I have sharing every detail of their lives over text or email or phone. Even with an alternative, we’d have to find and rebuild our personal networks all over again.
Yea it’s way too optimistic to presume these companies will not lash out in their death throes. They’d destroy as much as possible on their way out.
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Why a pic of AoE2?
the author mentions things related to social-cohesion/group-dynamics so maybe he’s using artwork that represents the lack thereof? since, in aoe2; you can control the way all of your units can work, except for the villagers.
the author might be right about mastodon, but they’re wrong about bluesky; it’s significant financial backing guarantees that it will eventually enshittify in at least one of the ways that the author wrote. so much so that even it’s primary creator, dorsey, left once he realized that me made another mistake in bluesky as he did with twitter.